Friday 23rd March: Trump’s China tariffs wreak havoc in the markets

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Global Markets:

  • Asian Stock Markets : Nikkei down 4.66%, Shanghai Composite down 3.48%, Hang Seng down 3.16%, ASX down 1.96%
  • Commodities : Gold at $1342.70 (+1.15%), Silver at $16.56 (+1.06%), WTI Oil at $69.54 (+0.91%), Brent Oil at $65.03 (+1.14%)
  • Rates : US 10-year yield at 2.808, UK 10-year yield at 1.434, Germany 10-year yield at 0.531

News & Data:

  • (USD) Unemployment Claims 229K vs 225K expected
  • (GBP) MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes 0-0-9 vs 0-0-9 expected
  • (GBP) Asset Purchase Facility 435B vs 435B expected
  • (GBP) Official Bank Rate 0.50% vs 0.50% expected
  • (GBP) MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 2-0-7 vs 0-0-9 expected
  • (GBP) Retail Sales m/m 0.80% vs 0.40% expected
  • (EUR) German Ifo Business Climate 114.7 vs 114.7 expected
  • (EUR) Flash Services PMI 55 vs 56 expected
  • (EUR) Flash Manufacturing PMI 56.6 vs 58.1 expected
  • (EUR) German Flash Services PMI 54.2 vs 55 expected
  • (EUR) German Flash Manufacturing PMI 58.4 vs 59.8 expected
  • (EUR) French Flash Services PMI 56.8 vs 57 expected
  • (EUR) French Flash Manufacturing PMI 53.6 vs 55.6 expected
  • US Government approves $1.3 Trln funding bill to avert shutdown
  • Japanese firms see no BOJ tightening until 2019 or beyond 2020: poll

Markets Update:

Asian markets deeply in the red, following cues from the Wall Street, where stocks tumbled after President Trump imposed tariffs on China, thereby reigniting fears of a trade war. Gold, yen and bonds have all gained from the flight to safety that ensued.

Nikkei’s export sectors under pressure, unsurprising given yen’s advance and US and China comprising Japan’s largest export markets. Trump administration confirmed countries it will exempt from steel and aluminum tariffs, though Japan not one.

Australia on the exclusion list, though it would still be subject to import quotas and relief is said to be temporary. As expected Chinese equities are on a sell-off.

Trump signed a presidential memorandum on Thursday that could impose tariffs on up to $60 billion of imports from China, although they have a 30-day consultation period, raising the chance that final measures could be watered down.

Investors fear that the U.S. measures could escalate into a trade war, with potentially dire consequences for the global economy.

China published its own list of American goods it is prepared to impose tariffs on. The Chinese Commerce Ministry also said it would take action against US under World Trade Organization framework, while its embassy vowed to ‘fight to the end' in any trade war.

Upcoming Events:

  • 12:10 PM GMT – (USD) FOMC Member Bostic Speaks
  • 12:30 PM GMT – (CAD) CPI m/m
  • 12:30 PM GMT – (CAD) Core Retail Sales m/m
  • 12:30 PM GMT – (CAD) Common CPI y/y
  • 12:30 PM GMT – (CAD) Median CPI y/y
  • 12:30 PM GMT – (CAD) Retail Sales m/m
  • 12:30 PM GMT – (CAD) Trimmed CPI y/y
  • 12:30 PM GMT – (GBP) MPC Member Vlieghe Speaks
  • 12:30 PM GMT – (USD) Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
  • 12:30 PM GMT – (USD) Durable Goods Orders m/m

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