Friday 23rd February: Rate hike concerns ease, markets recover slightly

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Global Markets:

  • Asian stock markets: Nikkei up 0.62%, Shanghai Composite up 0.63%, Hang Seng up 1.11%, ASX up 0.82%
  • Commodities: Gold at $1328.7 (-.30%), Silver at $16.540 (-0.28%), WTI Oil at $62.78 (+0.02%), Brent Oil at $66.35 (-0.06%)
  • Rates: US 10-year yield at 2.928, UK 10-year yield at 1.543, German 10-year yield at 0.707

News & Data:  

  • (USD) Crude Oil Inventories -1.6M vs 2.2M expected
  • (USD) Unemployment Claims 222K vs 230K expected
  • (CAD) Retail Sales m/m -0.80% vs 0.00% expected
  • (CAD) Core Retail Sales m/m -1.80% vs 0.10% expected
  • (GBP) Prelim Business Investment q/q 0.00% vs 0.50% expected
  • (GBP) Second Estimate GDP q/q 0.40% vs 0.50% expected
  • (EUR) German Ifo Business Climate 115.4 vs 117.1 expected
  • Japan blocking access to auto market with nontariff trade barriers, Trump says in report

Markets Update:

Asian markets traded higher today in a relatively quiet sessions, to end the week on a positive, after the mid-week pullback. The Dow and S&P also reversed some of its losses yesterday, as comments from a Fed official eased concerns of sped up rate hikes, and consequently of a fourth rate hike this year.

Chinese markets continued to gain from yesterday. Banks and Property Developers continue to drive up the Hang Seng. Nikkei off lows – Japan’s CPI was in focus as the data showed inflation rose 0.9% in January from a year earlier, compared with a median market forecast of 0.8%.

ASX was slightly in the green, supported by the materials sector. Bigger-than-expected rise in New Zealand retail sales failed to provide any support for the kiwi.

Bond yields mixed after this week’s backup. 10Y Treasury yield holding around 2.92%. In China, money market rates fell after PBoC followed up with another large- net cash injection via OMOs. JGBs are marginally stronger with front-end rates falling after BoJ focused bond buying operations on shorter-term securities.

Commodities mixed, with metals off overnight highs amid a bounce in the dollar.

Upcoming Events:

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