Tuesday 31st October: European Open Briefing

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Global Markets:

  • Asian stock markets: Nikkei up 0.04 %, Shanghai Composite down 0.24 %, Hang Seng fell 0.15 %, ASX 200 lost 0.14 %
  • Commodities: Gold at $1276.22 (-0.11 %), Silver at $16.83 (-0.03 %), WTI Oil at $53.99 (-0.30 %), Brent Oil at $60.44 (-0.23 %)
  • Rates: US 10-year yield at 2.36, UK 10-year yield at 1.34, German 10-year yield at 0.36

News & Data:

  • (NZD) ANZ Business Confidence -10.1 vs 0.0 previous
  • (CNY) Manufacturing PMI 51.6 vs 52.2 expected
  • (CNY) Non-Manufacturing PMI 54.3 vs 55.4 previous
  • (JPY) BOJ Policy Rate -0.10 % vs -0.10 % expected
  • (EUR) German Prelim CPI m/m 0.0 % vs 0.1 % expected
  • (EUR) German Retail Sales m/m 0.5 % vs 0.5 % expected
  • (CHF) KOF Economic Barometer 109.1 vs 106.6 expected
  • (EUR) Spanish Flash CPI y/y 1.6 % vs 1.7 % expected
  • (EUR) Spanish Flash GDP q/q 0.8 % vs 0.8 % expected
  • (GBP) Net Lending to Individuals m/m 5.5 B vs 5.5 B expected
  • (USD) Core PCE Price Index m/m 0.1 % vs 0.1 % expected
  • (USD) Personal Spending m/m 1.0 vs 0.8 % expected
  • Oil prices stable as OPEC-led supply cuts tighten market, but some caution remains
  • BOJ keeps policy steady; board newcomer signals desire for easing- RTRS

​Markets Update:

Most Asia pacific equity markets declined early on Tuesday tracking weakness on wall following news that planned stateside tax cuts could be gradually implemented. In addition to this, Investors caution crept into markets following a drop in China’s factory gauge and as BOJ kept its interest rates steady

USDJPY dropped to lows of 112.98 earlier in the session, but soon bounced back to highs of 113.28 following announcements from Bank of Japan. Currently the USD is seen trading around 113.20 against the Yen.  The Nikkei Stock Average was down 0.4% in early trade, with shares of major car makers down by about 1% amid strength in the yen.

EURUSD after testing above 1.1650 early in Tokyo morning started losing ground soon after. Currently, the EUR is seen trading around 1.1625 against the US Dollar.  The dollar index, which tracks the dollar against a basket of currencies rose 0.1% and is currently valued at 94.61. The yield on 10-year Treasuries was at 2.36 percent after decreasing four basis points to 2.37 percent

AUDUSD reached close to 0.7700 early on Tuesday but fell short by 2 pips and started losing ground dropping down to current levels of 0.7673 on very soft credit data and China PMI data. Australia’s 10-year yield fell 6 basis points to 2.67 percent. Meanwhile, the kiwi was a mover today reaching highs over 0.6880 despite lower building and comments from the new finance minister expressing little concern on the lower NZD. Currently the New Zealand dollar is seen trading around 0.6850 against the USD.

Upcoming Events:

  • 06:30 GMT – (JPY) BOJ Press Conference
  • 10:00 GMT – (EUR) CPI Flash Estimate y/y
  • 10:00 GMT – (EUR) Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y
  • 10:00 GMT – (EUR) Prelim Flash GDP q/q
  • 12:30 GMT – (CAD) GDP m/m
  • 12:30 GMT – (CAD) RMPI m/m
  • 12:30 GMT – (USD) Employment Cost Index q/q
  • 13:45 GMT – (USD) Chicago PMI
  • 14:00 GMT – (USD) CB Consumer Confidence
  • 19:30 GMT – (CAD) BOC Gov Poloz Speaks
  • 21:45 GMT – (NZD) Employment Change q/q
  • 21:45 GMT – (NZD) Unemployment Rate

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